Bloomberg Spoil of day: Asia 05/14/2024

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Bloomberg Spoil of day: Asia 05/14/2024


This is DAYBREAK, Asia.We're counting down to Asia's major market opens.And Heidi, it was a very subdued session on Wall Street overnight, that countdownto the US inflation print. But in Asia, we've got some veryinteresting earnings that are certainly keeping things a little bit more dynamichere. Yeah, that key focus being the ChineseInternet giants. Right.Tencent, Alibaba, where do they take the Chinese equity rally to next, given thatthey're such a barometer when it comes to the strength of the Chinese consumer?We know that's more of a weakness than a.

Strength, according to the recent data.But also big day for Australia. Looking ahead to the budget as well, theimplications when it comes to investment in critical minerals, but also thatbalancing act between fiscal stimulus and monetary policy.Yeah, that's right. And we've got the market open here andwe just mentioned going into the end of the last hour about these producerprices numbers that came out. And just to recap, those pretty much inline with estimates a little bit firmer perhaps on the year on year rating, youcan see a rise there, 0.9 of a per cent, the estimate had been 4.3, but otherwisein line on a month on month basis.

As we said, earnings very much the oneto be watching here. And you've got SoftBank just starting totrade this morning after we saw it getting a little bit more aggressive inAI. We've seen big asset sales comingthrough for the company, also seeing, of course, a surge in some of its portfoliocompanies or companies within its its assets.And that includes ARM Holdings, of course, that listed at the end of lastyear. So SoftBank's putting out better thanexpected net income in the March quarter, as we said, really helped bythose investment gains and and.

Derivative contracts as well.So that's the state of play there for SoftBank coming online.But although we are just seeing a little bit of optimism creeping through, as wesaid, very heavy earnings flow, Korean stocks wise, we're not really seeing toomuch movement for the broader gauge. The Cosby here because stock that's alittle bit smaller cap companies pushing a little bit higher here and you've gotthe green one just slightly firmer. But as we said, it is that big countdownto the US inflation print that's due later.So Wall Street pretty quiet overnight. Taking a look at how we're setting up aswe look ahead to the delivery of the.

Australian budget, this is the picturefor a pretty sluggish start to trading. In fact, caution all round, as you sortof mention, as we wait for that inflation print, the Treasurer JimChalmers set to announce back in the black when it comes to the Government'sbooks for a second straight year, Australia's fiscal standing now near thetop of developed world counterparts. So that's a good news.The question is to see how they're planning to address the cost of livingcrisis with this series of rate hikes without undermining the efforts of theRBA in pushing back those rate expectations.Right.

Cut expectations out even further.So that's the picture when it comes to Australian bonds there as well.We sort of seeing Aussie Bonds Prime to get a bit of a boost from that budgetannouncement certainly today. And also watching the impact on theAussie dollar as well. Quite a few headwinds for us.For Asian currencies more broadly, 66 is also trading when it comes to theAussie, but certainly these twin threats of stick to inflation, the US as well asthe potential for more tariffs on Chinese goods and the potential even forretaliation, as Janet Yellen flagged in our exclusive conversation, is certainlykeeping some stronger gains at bay.

There.And finally, a quick look at oil as we see a pretty steady picture there forcrude traders looking ahead to that OPEC report as well as the CPI data, theclues as to whether supply curbs will be extended and the shape of monetarypolicy to come out. Really, and unsurprisingly, the biggestdrivers there, as we see above 75, $79 a barrel there for WTI and a picture whenit comes to Treasuries as well, just edging a little bit higher there.The countdown to Asian April inflation data, I should say.So not huge moves ahead of that print, though.Yes, certainly that wait and see mode.

Perhaps is going to overcome markets.But let's bring it home. And it's always head of API equities andcredit at UBS Wealth Management. And Hartmut, I'm curious for what yousee here because we've got you still seeing inflation or rather say cuts onthe horizon for this year with we're in the midst of earnings season here inAsia as well. What do you think is the bigger A forequity moves over the coming few weeks. You may yeah morning and I thinkinflation or the number that everybody's looking at this week of course is onthese on this one. As a matter of fact I would look reallyat some of the other indicators and.

Especially in the US, things likeconsumer excess savings, I mean, been been drawing down since many, manyquarters now, but there's a little bit left.So I'm not saying it seeing massive weakness afterwards, but nonetheless itspeaks for softness. If I look at service PMIs and all thesethings, they tell us that almost regardless if the number tomorrowdeviates a little bit on the up or down side, doesn't matter so much.The direction of travel, I should say, is, in my view, relatively clear, andthat's for for rates to come down. And therefore, in terms ofrecommendations, we we continue to say.

Or to to advocate for for high qualitybonds and also in the US. Small caps indeed.Small caps. Can you can you dive into that and alsoyour your positioning around bonds as well?Just share more details there. Sure.So on the on the small cap side, what we like, for example, the directbeneficiaries of are falling rates. So if we compare them with the S&Pcompanies, there's about 10% or so in terms of indebtedness on floating rates,whereas in the small cap space is around 50%.So they're suffering a lot more right.

Now.But once the tables are turning or the yields are turning to rates are turningdown, then they're an immediate beneficiary.Plus, they're usually also benefiting from from the cyclical part of it. However, we seem to have taken a bit ofa breather when it comes to the Japan equity rally.What do you make of this in terms of what the next phase for this marketholds? And does this have anything to do withperhaps some redirected flows now back into China?Thank you.

Yeah.See, I believe many investors look too much at the return in Japan in localcurrencies. That was the case last year.If that was the case this year. And then, you know, we hear a lot ofbullish voices. The moment you translate all of thatback into other currencies like U.S. dollars, it is not all that impressive.I'm not saying it's terrible, but it certainly it doesn't stand out in anyway. And if we look forward now and if weassume that rates are starting to fall in the US, even if it's only the secondhalf, by the way, we could also well see.

Maybe one more or so rate hike in Japan.So so we're seeing diverging policies. Now when that happens, that speaks foryen strength and in an index for a half of your companies roughly are exporters,then you may actually see the other phenomenon that the yen actuallystrengthens. But you are sort of performance in localterms is a bit subpar. Also, we don't think the Japanese theJapanese stock index is cheap enough really to to have significant upside.So we have a neutral position. We're not necessarily negative.But I think that sort of strong optimism that some investors have displayed sofar hasn't borne out and we don't really.

Think it will.Is China cheap enough? Because we've seen even with the creditdata, pretty bleak over the weekend, there's been more investor enthusiasm tolift these markets off the bottom. Does does that sort of concern you whenwe've got a time when certainly the geopolitical threats are perhaps onlygoing to increase with these terror threats now?And as far as China concerned, certainly cheap, although not quite as much as asit was, may be the end of end of January.Nonetheless, there is, we think, potential to toperform more or less in line with APEC's.

That we haven't sort of highlightedspecifically. What we do like to emphasize stories andyou can sometimes see it as a proxy to China is the Hong Kong market in fact.So it typically also does well, the correlation is relatively high.So we can't the technically anyway prefer but the Hong Kong side to themainland market. What about the moves that we're seeingin gold at the moment? Cause it has been sort of abit of a mixed view. We have seen that big run up.It slipped a little bit. But what are you what are you watchingthere?.

Probably ultimately also the Fedfundamentally. But we also need to acknowledge that isa factor at play here. It isn't usually or that goes a bitbeyond the fundamentals, and that's the behaviour of central banks.And it does seem in many, many countries, central banks are alsolooking to diversify maybe their holdings a bit away from dollar andtowards gold. So you have in other words, you havefairly price insensitive buyers in the markets with with deep pockets, if youwill. That's another factor.So we have a forecast of 2500 in the in.

The longer run, maybe the end of thisyear or early next year. So there's a little bit of upside.But yeah, not all of it is maybe purely explained by fundamentals.That was how many. So way ahead of a pack equities andcredit at UBS wealth management and is what is discussing with hammered thosemoves in the Japanese yen. That weakness that we're seeing here isbeing reflected as well and what we see in the government debt space becausethey've got bonds here, those yields that are moving higher, the ten yearyield now rising to it's a level we actually haven't seen going back toNovember of last year.

Again, it is that that speculation thatwe're getting that the BOJ's going to be needing to deliver more rate increasessooner rather than later, given, as we said, Heidi, that ongoing weakness inthe Japanese currency and that focus on the yield gap between the BOJ and theFed as well and Bell, some of the just a couple ofthe key stocks that we're watching in the session, these are the big storiesthat we've been tracking, but of weakness for both of them.BHP group down by just about 3/10 of 1%. This after Anglo American rejected asecond approach from BHP that valued the miner at 43 billion USD.Pressure really building now on Anglo to.

Kind of lay out a compelling vision forindependence, right? We had BHP improving on its proposal byabout 15%, but that has again been rejected in that old share offer.It's crucially, it's maintained that structure which Anglo has branded asunworkable. So waiting for the next steps in thekind of the next moves from both sides and also whether this is going to kindof spur broader M&A activity across the sector.Also watching SoftBank, of course, set to get more aggressive, even moreaggressive. But we've seen really Masa make thatsharp pivot to Asia investment in other.

Fields.They reported a second quarter of profit, a surge in the value of assets,including of course, holdings. But the strategy in terms of the plansbeing laid out to be more forceful in I and saying that the CFO say that thebalance sheet may not be too conservative.They have, of course, been quietly shedding assets, not considered corecost. The vision fund, which TreasurySecretary Janet Yellen says China could always retaliate against any steps theUS takes to protect its new, critical, critical new industries.Yellen declined to confirm Bloomberg.

Reporting that the Biden administrationis about to hike tariffs on Chinese goods, including electric vehicles.But she did tell us exclusively about the president's thinking on tradetensions. He believes it's unacceptable, as I do,to be completely dependent on China in these areas.And he wants to make sure, given that China is really not playing by the rulesin this sense, they have enormous subsidies in critical areas of advancedmanufacturing is resulted in overcapacity.He wants to make sure that the stimulus that's being provided through theInflation Reduction Act to support these.

Industries and these are industries thatare creating good manufacturing jobs in parts of the country that have beenoverlooked or have suffered from deindustrialization in the past.The president wants to make sure that he protects these investments.And I don't want to get ahead of the 301 review on tariffs, but this is acommitment that President Biden has made.And I agree with it. I was in China just a couple of weeksago and made clear that we would not allow Chinese overcapacity to harm ouremerging industries. Does the US want a trade war, though,with China?.

We we believe that we should have a deepand productive and we do in most areas, trade and investment relationship.We're working to stabilize our economic relationship.We do not wish to disengage from China economically, but we do think that theplaying field should be fair. And China engages in unfair practiceslike massive subsidies of industries they have decided are critical.And those are cases where we will act to protect ourselves.We've seen Beijing in the past, though, respond and it's become tit for tat.Are you expecting a response? Could they go after Tesla or maybeAmerican farm products?.

Well, President Biden believes thatanything we do should be targeted to our concerns and not broad based.And hopefully we will not see a significant Chinese response.But that's always a possibility. Yeah,that was the US Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, speaking exclusively toBloomberg's Annmarie Horden. And still ahead, deloitte's out with a.You report on generative AI in Asia? Hey, why?They say students and employees are leading the revolution later this hour.But first, we discuss what's next for BHP after Anglo-American again rebuffedSweden takeover offer and BHP, as we.

Said, a little bit under pressure so farin the first 15 minutes of trade. We'll have more ahead.This is going back. Pretty muted moves in BHP.One of the stocks that we're watching about 15 minutes into the start oftrading just off by about half a percent.This after Anglo American has rejected a second approach from BHP, valuing theminer at $43 billion. The takeover would have made BHP theworld's largest copper producer. Let's bring in our metals and miningreporter Allan Hunt in Melbourne. So that All-share bid was increased by15% hasn't won over the Anglo American.

Board.Is it the structure that's the issue here?What do they want to see? Yes, well, the offer is now up to $43billion. But yes,Anglo's response was that BHP is the price significantly undervalued thecompany and its future prospects. So that of course, including the copperside of the business where this risk came from, what it sees as the biggestchallenge has been the structure of the deal.So as part of the deal, Anglo would be required to spin off its Amplatsplatinum group Metals business and the.

Kumba iron ore business in South Africa,getting approval and regulatory green lights to spin off those parts of thebusiness are seen as key risks by Anglo Anglo said that it could take a long,long time to get those approvals and at the end of the day said wasn't worth itfor its shareholders. Managements at Anglo are under a lot ofpressure. Anglo has failed to keep up with itspeers such as Glencore and BHP, of course, so it is quite undervalued.Around about this time last year, Anglos board announced that they wouldundertake a strategic review of their assets and the business as a whole.Shareholders have since then been left.

In the dark, essentially not reallyknowing what's next for the company. But management have overnight promisedthat today and scrambled to do this, promising that they would release thestrategic review and outline how they'd add value for current shareholders.Yeah. What in that strategic review, as yousaid, it's been underway for a number of months and Babs, it's been a little bitrushed into the market now in response to BHP.But but what is going to be in there, that's going to be enough to impressshareholders. Well, it remains to be seen, buta strategic review like this is usually.

A precursor to divestments or spinningthings off. So one of the one of the things thatwe'll be watching is Anglo's poly highlights business.That's a fertilizer resource, but it's a $9 billion projectwith something like a 34 kilometer tunnel that needs to be built to port.This project is is requiring a lot of capital, as you imagine, and there's nojoint venture partner in there yet. So that's something that we're certainlywatching. And of course, to be, as the diamondbusiness has been struggling for for some time in the current market,for.

The scramble for copper assets is on.Right. Is this going to spark off a wider waveof M&A and competitors to BHP and Anglo also getting involved?Yes. Somost people are presuming that there could be another competitive bid, butthey're not quite sure where that's going to come from.Broadly speaking, in the copper landscape, copper is is really set tosoar. If you look at a lot of the forecastsout there, it is key for the energy transition, it's key forelectrification, it's key for.

Decarbonisation.So and there's then there's only limited copper, proven copper resources aroundthe world and those copper resources and those deposits are becoming harder andharder to find. Industry hasn't kept up with withdrilling holes in exploration. So it's really the ones those depositsthat have been found are that that big business, big miners such as BHP arereally looking to to acquire. And it's really proving thatacquiring assets that are already proven is is often better than than going outand drilling yourself. There are the companies take forinstance, First Quantum, even Freeport.

To some extent, which could all be onthe table in the coming months or years, years to come.Hmm. Metals and mining reporter Allan Huntthere. More to come here on DAYBREAK.Asia, this is Bloomberg. Taking a look at some of the big moversthis morning. All probably not big movers, but some ofthe names that are in focus, big companies.Certainly Nomura is one of those because we're in the midst of the Japaneseearnings season and they've unveiled a target to almost double pre-tax profitby the end of the decade, as this is.

Japan's biggest brokerage, of course.And it's looking to generate income before taxes of more than ¥500 billionby 2030. And that's around 3.2 billion U.S.dollars. That's more there.And SoftBank as well. We've seen it sort of fluctuating in theearly parts of trade so far, but back into positive territory again.The focus here for SoftBank is the plans in it's announced to get more aggressivein AI and other fields as well. But we saw it reported second quarterprofit and a surge in the value of its assets.Let's get more on SoftBank now.

Bring in our tech reporter Min Jong Liand Min Jong. What stood out to you the most from thenumbers? The profit?The SoftBank group's turn to profit was was a good thing to see.And one of and you mentioned the valuations and positive things they havenow a net asset value of over ¥27 trillion which is a record high.And this measure is one of Masayoshi Sons favorite metrics and gauging thehealth of their own business. And this kind of helps us believe that,like you mentioned, SoftBank is getting more ready to actually start spendingmoney again to invest in A.I.

And particularly CHIP technologies.Unfortunately, we didn't see much detail on that front yesterday.But these figures are positive profits, the net assets figure, these are allkind of suggesting that we can expect a more exciting news going forward fromSoftBank in terms of investments. So there's the cash pile that they'resitting on ready to be deployed. But also, we did see the loss of avision fund, too. Was that a surprise?Yes. The vision fund still reported aquarterly loss of which was kind of disappointing.And yes, it wasn't quite expected.

It speaks to how we still don't have alot of clarity on their private assets. We don't have we have data on publiclytraded assets and can can kind of estimate how they're doing.But for these private assets which get written down and we don't have muchclarity on it raises a lot of questions about what is going on there and thefact that these valuations haven't been quite giving vision fund assets a boostis disappointing. But are.You mentioned the cash pile. It doesn't mean SoftBank doesn't haveenough money because it's generating profits on the group level and becauseoverall valuations have been recovering.

And the cash file is now at like ¥6.2trillion, which is about 40 billion U.S. dollars.They do have a lot of money to spend. And I think because of these factors, Ithink we can anticipate more activity on the group side rather than on the visionfund side. But we really have to see how thingsdevelop from here. To be sure.Tech technology reporter Jon Lee. Coming up, a closer look at one of thepillars of Australia's budget to be unveiled later today.The country is seeking to move beyond its bread and butter industries.As we get more details on the future.

Made in Australia policy.This is Bloomberg. Taking a look at some market action thismorning is we have Japanese bonds that are trading here today.We've got the 20 year yield rising to its highest level since 2013.So it's more pronounced at the longer end of the curve.But still, we already just mentioned earlier the ten year yield spiking to atwo point we haven't seen going back to November of last year.It's really this changing market perception that's coming through aroundwhere the BOJ goes next. We had really seen Governor CASA a wayto playing down the need or the impact.

Of the weak Japanese currency oninflation. But the tone of his remarks seems tohave changed. After we had that meeting between Awadaand also the Japanese Government, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, and posed thatpoint. It has been sounding like there is a bitof more of an urgency to act here and there's concerns around that one sidedweakness of the yen as well and the negative impacts for the Japaneseeconomy. So you're seeing that agitation forpolicy change here that could come perhaps at the next BOJ meeting in JuneHeidi.

Take a look at how we're trending whenit comes to Australian assets as we look ahead to the delivery of the federalbudget. A little bit of downside, the broadcaution really across the region as we wait really in wait and see mood aheadof the US inflation print. Not a great deal of risk taking thatwe're seeing when it comes to the how. Particular segments are trading a littlebit of upside when it comes to health care and consumer.But by and large we are seeing most of those sectors trading in the red,including the likes of materials and industrials, which could be sort of oneof the beneficiaries from that budget.

With that focus on critical minerals.The government is set to unveil the third budget later on Tuesday.Potentially this would be the last before the next election.One of the centrepieces will be the so-called future Made in Australiapolicies similar interventionist ambitions to the US Inflation ReductionAct. Bloomberg's Paul Allen has more.Australia's economic strength has been built on digging stuff up and shippingit out. It's an old idea which has paid off andnow another old idea is being revived. Adding value to those raw materials.First this week in Canberra, billions in.

New spending will be thrown at greensteel, critical minerals processing, solar panel manufacturing and otherlocal industries. They want a future made in Australia isall about is not replacing private investment in the opportunities of thefuture but attracting more of it. That will require some public investmentand we need to make sure we get value for money for that.A future made in Australia is a flagship policy of the Albanese Government as iteyes an election campaign likely next year.In many ways it was born out of competitive necessity.The US says the Inflation Reduction Act,.

Japan has the Green Transformation Act.Canada and France are giving billions in tax credits to companies developingclean energy. Direct government intervention is havinga moment worldwide and Australia doesn't want to be left behind.An early recipient of the $260 million loan has been Alfa HP, which produceshigh purity, alumina oxides, nitrates and sulfates.Critical minerals key to the energy transition.Australia has abundant critical mineral deposits but limited manufacturing, withthe global supply chain dominated by China.Skeptics warn reducing that dominance.

Will require more than nationalistpolicies and cheap loans, I think is critical for Australian to build its ownbuild a so-called alternative supply chains for critical minerals andprocessing. But to replace or challenging China'sdominance is impossible because China's power is not just in the processingtechnologies. Is the entire value chain supply chainsbehind it. With extreme sadness that I confirm toit, that would have stopped building cars in Australia.It's worth remembering it was only a decade ago that government subsidies forcar manufacturing in Australia were.

Pulled, causing Ford, GM and Toyota toshut down local production. Subsidies and tax breaks are now backfor future facing industries, at least for as long as the political climateencourages it. Paul Allen.Bloomberg. Sydney.Let's get some more now with our economics reporter, Swati Pandey.And happy budget day. But when it comes to this future made inAustralia policy, we don't know a lot. So it could be surprise.But also, is it too late given we've just sort of renamed all of the otherpolicies that are well entrenched in.

Other economies?Yes, that is a question mark as well. And because the government has notreally announced the detail of this policy, we have not really heard fromeconomists or industry people. Any criticism or any kind of commentabout it? People have broadly said it's may or maynot be good, it may or may not be inflationary, but it just depends uponwhat they say. And that is something that has notreally been leaked so far. So we will be keeping a close eye onthat particular announcement today. And then we know as well we're expectingsome some tax cuts to come through more.

More cost of living aid.Is that something as well that the RBA perhaps really doesn't want to see?Most of these things have been announced, so the tax cuts have beenlegislated, The targeted cost of living measures have been flagged and the RBAhas probably taken that into their consideration as well.When they raised their inflation forecasts and raised their inflationforecast not just for kind of for the near term.And most economists think that the this budget will not be inflationary.But the information we received last night.So $9.3 billion surplus, but then the.

Outyears will be a bigger deficit thanthey had forecast in December, which does mean that the budget is a littlebit more stimulatory than it was last year.So there is a little bit of a concern there for the RBA and we will hear fromthem only in June now. So it means that they'll keep the tripleA from all three major ratings agencies and only seven countries that hold that,including Switzerland and Singapore. How much of a comfort is that to thegovernment? And if you take a look at, I guess,policy measures in navigating post pandemic, the post-pandemic environment,is it sort of.

The lucky country through luck orthrough good planning here? In the past, political climate has beenaround Australia getting its books in order and debt and deficit disaster usedto be a tagline that the previous government, the Liberal Party, used touse a lot as well. So it is it is considered a politicalvictory. If you do deliver a surplus and youretain your triple-A rating. So from that perspective, given that theLabor Party is not doing that well in polls because of the cost of livingpressures, if they are delivering a surplus and retaining their triple-Arating, it will be seen as a political.

Victory.It is a double edged sword, though, because people might say that, look, weare having a tough end. The government is just bothered aboutthe surplus position. Also, as far as a lucky countrygovernment is concerned, that is an interesting one, right?Because in terms of where that's obviously coming from, it's allcommodities prices. And does that look like maybe that isluck? It's the eternal question when it comesto Australia's economy, isn't it? All right.That was our economics reporter, Swati.

Pandey there in Sydney.And tomorrow we're going to be dissecting Australia's budget withFinance Minister Katy Gallagher and shadow treasurer Angus Taylor.You can catch those interviews from 7:30 a.m.Hong Kong time. That's 9:30 a.m.on the east coast of Australia. And coming up, we'll have Deloitte'sinaugural Asia-Pacific Journey report that finds three quarters of businessesare falling behind on AI adoption. We'll have more on the company'sfindings ahead. This is Bloomberg.

Taking a look at the broader marketshere this morning. And it's a little bit mixed as we getunderway. You've got to Japan here sort ofstanding out, but it's that big earnings focus as well because we're in the midstof earnings season and we can get more on that in just a moment.But otherwise, it's fairly steady going so far.So sort of tracks Wall Street overnight when you've got a lot of investors thatare really just counting down to the US inflation print.We should see some signals of moderation, but certainly not the sortof moderation the Fed wants to see if.

They're going to start cutting rates, asthat's to say, to play there. The broader gauge, pretty steady, as Isaid right now. Let's change on, though, because thatfocus very much coming down to earnings so far and some of the names that arereally standing out. We've got topping holdings at the tophere that does work in printing services, actually provides commercialand publication printing. It is rising here after announcing ashare buyback for up to ¥100 billion. You've also got some other names inFocus Dye Nippon Printing, another one sort of in perhaps a similar sector, butagain, rising here for its full year.

Operating income forecast beatestimates. Other names are looking a little bitmixed. You got a Zora and Daiwa Securitieshere. That story is one that we're watchingthis morning. Given you've got Daiwa that's going tobe investing around $330 million in newly issued shares from Japan's Zora.That's going to give it around 15% or 16% of voting rights as that will makeDai what the banks biggest shareholder. Of course, we had been really trackingas or given its exposure to to us commercial real estate here, but Dai wasvery much under pressure so far Heidi.

Well, Deloitte has released its firstinaugural Apex generative survey. Over 11,000 employees and studentsacross the Asia Pacific participated, revealing how younger employees aredriving the adoption of Gen Z in the workplace.And discuss all of that with Robert HILLARD, consulting leader at DeloitteAsia Pacific. Robert, great to have you with us.And really interesting findings, perhaps unsurprising that you're seeing theyounger parts of the workforce and students being the leaders in terms ofgenerative AI adoption. But given how breathtaking theinvestment has been in this space, has.

It been surprising that the theadoption, the take up has been less organized in that sense?It's certainly been inconsistent. Everybody knows that generative AI isimportant and we're tagging this generation AI, because we've seen theyounger you are, the more the more that you adopt.80% of students right across Asia Pacific are using AI in their day to daylives. But now we're finding 60% of employeesare using them day to day. But when we are starting to see itcreeping more and more into the workplace, over 40% of employees arereporting that they are using AI at work.

And those that are using it on a dailybasis are getting more than 6 hours a week of time savings.That's time savings that they're using to improve the quality of their work, totake on tasks, to apply skills that they wouldn't otherwise be able to or be ableto improve their work life balance by taking away some of those onerous tasks.But you're right, it's inconsistent. We found that developing countries areadvancing much more quickly than developed countries by about a third.That means that more employees are using it.More students are saying that they're making career decisions in developingcountries based upon where they perceive.

AI will be.And more of the employed employees are saying that their employer is investingin AI. But there's some gotchas right acrossthe consistence, which is that those people that are using AI, only abouthalf of them, think that their employer actually knows that they're using it atwork and one in five employers has actually banned AI.But far from being an effective ban. What's happened in those employers wherethey banned AI, their employees are more likely than average to be using it, butthey're using it secretly. So the message here is employers reallyneed to get on top of this quickly,.

Right?That's clear. But also the fact that there's so muchsuspicion towards it that, you know, a lot of this is happening in a in a Iguess you could say underhand way. Does that go to pointing towards someconcerns about the credibility of the work that's done using AI?And does that need to be improved? I wouldn't use the term underhand.What I would say is happening is this this technology is revolutionary and itis embedding itself into just about everything that we do.People use Internet at work. You wouldn't say that it's underhand.They do Google searches.

They're using AI in everything fromtheir social media right through to their edge of their own personalresearch. So it's no surprise that using it.Work. The reason why it's important thatemployees are across this is it is not a perfect technology.We know that it can make mistakes. So the quality control is important.But the good news is that where people are using it and will skills in, theyhave got the right skills to use it. The fact checking they're using in waysthat are adding to the quality of their outputs rather than risking too many toomany mistakes.

But you're absolutely right.We really have to manage this and manage it well because all of the trends arethat the investments are going to continue to go up over the next fiveyears and perhaps it as well in response to tothe issues around possible errors being made or hallucinations.Is that does that also sort of underpin that shift toward more of the private orproprietary domain specific models? Yes, we are.We are seeing specialization. So everybodybecame really aware of generative AI when it was suddenly launched.But it's not just about those big public.

Models.It's about investment in specialized models, sometimes embedded in the bigsoftware platforms, sometimes embedded in the creative platforms, including insocial media, and then increasingly in-house.People are building their own, their own models, drawing on open source and othersolutions. There's a lot of technology out there touse, and it's actually surprisingly, the the cost barrier to use it is is goingdown. What's really important is thatorganisations get a handle on their strategy, handle on what data they wantto feed into these AI solutions and then.

What tasks do they want to try to applyit to and how are they going to make sure that it's done, that it's donewell, I can make mistakes, but actually you can put very, very good controlsaround that and have confidence because I can also dramatically improve thequality of your outputs. After all, yeah, I'm old enough toremember growing up where I was reliant on the encyclopedia, tell you how to getmy facts, the insight You didn't just trust one page of an encyclopedia youcross-referenced. That's been no different for all of us.As we've used online searches. Now it's no different.When we use A.I., we can build we can.

Build all of those safeguards in.But we need we need to plan for what? We need to plan for the automation.That's that's really the message that people who've been making careerdecisions around where they perceive AI giving us when they report back.And we and we summarized those those findings in this report,this is all sort of like on a company by company basis.But what happens when you zoom out and you look more in an a country by countrybasis instead or regional, what are you seeing there?So we have got a map. We call it the the Big Bang short fuse.We've looked at industry by industry.

About at the impact.We found that over the next three years, we're going to see over 1000000000 hoursof work significantly displaced, changed in the way that those tasks are doneright across Asia Pacific every year. And that impact is going to keep on keepon going up. By 2030, every single almost everybodywill be using AI enabled technology almost every day, often withoutrealizing it's now. Of course, it's the the the theactivities where it's highly online already in it media professionalservices where we've seen the initial disruptions.But increasingly we're seeing disruption.

Coming through into the physical worldin things like manufacturing, enabling a wider range of people to be able toapply skills that they wouldn't otherwise otherwise have.So it becomes a it doesn't just become about displacing work, it actuallybecomes about enabling different people to be able to do work and to be able todo it more efficiently in a wider range of a wider range of their day to daytasks. That was Robert Hill of the consultingleader at Deloitte Asia-Pacific. Thanks very much for your insights thismorning. And we'll have more ahead on DAYBREAK.Asia, This is Bloomberg.

Let's get to some other calls that we'refollowing this morning in Jp morgan's Margot Kalina, which says it's difficultto justify buying stocks now due to elevated interest rates, weakeninggrowth and meager potential returns. He says the market is prematurelysettling back into this soft landing narrative while the macro outlook isstill uncertain. Jp morgan says small and mid-cap stocksare unlikely to beat the return of 20 year treasuries from now until the nextrecession. Meanwhile, Bank of America says it wouldtake broad global risks for the U.S. to potentially coordinate efforts withJapan to shore up the yen.

Strategist Alex Cohen says the USgetting involved only to curb excessive volatility or disorderly and illiquidconditions in markets. He says tacit approval of Japan'sunilateral activity seems to be the the most the US Treasury is willing toconcede at present tidy. BlackRock.Bell says it expects a private market boom and if and when the Fed decides tobegin reducing interest rates. In the first episode of Bloomberg's newpodcast, Tiger Money. The asset managers Asia Pacific headsSusan Chen shares her thoughts on the timing of those much anticipated cuts.I'm not sure that the Fed will take the.

Rates down because there's no factorthat is from my personal opinion. Right now, there are no macro factorstoday that would have a strong dictation of Fed should move on rates.So I think the rates will normalize around here.But having said that, if rates do go down, the search for income becomes evenmore prevalent. And that's an area where I think privatemarkets will continue to play a long lasting support to our client basebecause of the fact that there are critical themes in private markets.If you just think about, for example, why are people focus on infrastructureand the transition to net zero that will.

Take place over a long period of timeand these things will generate significant amount of returns.And irrespective of where rates are, I think this trend is here.So that's a trend, irrespective of rates, even though it might be bumpydepending on sort of how quickly rates move.But I have a firm opinion personally that the rates are normalized and willbe quite stable for at least the remaining part of this year.You've always provided me with very good advice, advice, whether that's on careerinvestment. What's the best career advice someonehas given you?.

Don't worry about the things that areout of your control and focus on things that you can actually control on a dayto day basis. Love that.And then as a senior female executive in the finance industry, what's your takeon breaking through the gender and cultural bias, and how does that helpwomen in finance succeed? This is a multi-decade journey, and Ithink every step is a win. So let's do everything one step at atime and not let's not try to think we're going to make some massive changesovernight because we need everyone to join us on this bus and take thisjourney.

That was the BlackRock head of AsiaPacific, Susan Chen, speaking to Bloomberg's Tiger Money podcast.And you can stay tuned for more from Tiger Money.It's co-hosted by Bloomberg's Robert David Inglis and Rebecca Austin as wellfor conversations on investment strategy with industry and business leaders.It's going to be every second Tuesday from today.And you can find it on Apple, Spotify, YouTube and Bloomberg.com.But one of the actions so far and actually Susan Chen spoke to us aboutJapanese equities being an investment opportunity.But a lot of the action so far this.

Morning and what we're seeing in thebond space is that rise that we're seeing in yields here really led by thelonger end of the curve, given you've got trade, is agitating for some sort ofpolicy change from the BOJ in response, of course, to the weaker yen.We're actually just hearing from Japanese government officials heresaying that they are watching these yields.They will respond highly as necessary. Take a look.BELL When it comes to how we're setting up US futures looking like this as wehead into really these building expectations of what that inflationprint will come out as also seeing a.

Little bit of softness there when itcomes to Taiwan futures as we get into the open.The China show is next.

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