‘That is no longer a crimson wave’: What John King sees to this level in midterm elections

Right now, based on the numbers that we have available at this moment, we believe that Republicans are still on their way to achieving what they need to achieve in the 82 outstanding the 82 total.

Competitive House districts. John, clear favorites Republicans. Even now as we approach to aim are clear favorites to win a House majority but but it's a big but there is still a small possibility modest participation call it small modest possibility.

Democrats could hold their majority. Did you think we'd be having that conversation now. This is a big bite at 2:00 in the morning and if Republicans do win the majority now because we're getting fewer and fewer races still on the board, it's likely to be a more narrow majority.

Here's another way to look at it. You just laid it out the smartest way. I'll get there, building it down just in the top. This is where we stand right now, leading the vote. These are not called races. This is leading the vote. Right. But if if we if this were over right now,.

The Republicans would have a three seat majority in the House of Representatives. We're not it's not over. But just think about the narrow realm we're talking about now. You mentioned earlier in the night, Kevin McCarthy earlier in the year said 60 seats,.

Some Republicans in the last week have been saying 30 seats. We are not we are not in that ballpark. 219 216 leading right now. Right. In terms of called races. 193, 269. So Republicans clearly are getting close. It's two 18.

In terms of the cold races they're getting close. This is what you were just talking about here in the races that are still uncalled and the Democrats leading in more of the competitive seats. You would say that's good for the Democrats.

It is good for the Democrats. It's not good enough to prevent a House majority. We're not done yet again. But where we stand right now it looks like the Republicans are on a path to get a narrow majority. But I just want to step back again and just look at this map.

But that's not a red wave. That's nothing like a red wave. No, that that could end up being enough for Republicans to get a small House majority, maybe a modest House majority, depending on how you define it. But that is a very competitive map in which.

A lot of Democrats in frontline districts scratched and clawed their way to victory. That includes we talked earlier tonight in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania I mean, Virginia are one off here with these races are off the board. Let me come up. That's uncalled let me come out of there.

And you look, Democrats won two of the three. They won this one here a more Democratic district. They should have won. But if there were a red wave, that would be red. It is not. If there were a big red ripple, this one would be the next one down.

Sorry. Let me come over here to Abigail Spanberger. It's just even a big red ripple. This one would be red. It is not. And so these frontline Democrats scratched and clawed, not just in Virginia, you come out to Ohio,.

You see all this blue. They picked up a seat. This is a pickup that was a Republican incumbent that will now be a new Democratic congressman. So on a night when Democrats were supposed to lose a lot,.

You'd like to pick up some to offset that. There's one right there in Cincinnati. Even though the Republican governor won big, even though the Republican Senate candidate won reasonably comfortably. Marcy Kaptur, again, a veteran Democrat,.

Scratching it out against a January 6th participant who lied about military service. Good candidate beats bad candidate here in Ohio. So you just come back out, you could keep going through these races. Let's go out to Colorado right now.

The Democratic governor wins big. The Democratic senator, Republican said they were going to give him the race of a lifetime. They did not in the House races right out here. This is Lauren Boebert. Many of you may have heard of her, a more controversial pro-Trump.

Member of the House Republican Conference, only at 83%. There's a ways to go here. There's room for her to catch up. But it's supposed to beat the Democrats on their heels. And here you have a Republican incumbent but just I mean just for people to understand.

This is a district that is our plus eight right. Our plus eight. And right now she still might pull it out but the fact that it's so competitive says there's something going on here that certainly Kevin McCarthy who by the way we expect to come out and speak.

Live at any moment certainly Kevin McCarthy did not see coming at all. And so the texting with some House Republicans and Republican consultants more who work with those consultants. And you're looking at this again. Lauren Boebert has time in room with 83%.

She may still pull this out. But the conversation, sarcastic conversation among Republicans right now is if you're going to have a five or six seat majority, would you rather have five and not her because she's one of the agitators, the Marjorie Taylor Greens,.

The Lauren Boebert, the members of the Freedom Caucus, the people who if Kevin McCarthy has a very narrow majority are going to be on the phone with Donald Trump all the time. What do you want us to tell him to do? And so that's the calculation. Now, McCarthy, with a ten,.

15, 20 seat majority, has a leash, has some room, has some maneuverability. McCarthy with a very small majority like that. It'll be a really interesting Washington and Jake, especially if you take this it's not a final number.

But this is trending toward it looks like the house looks there's still a possibility the Democrats keep the majority looks like the Republicans get a relatively narrow majority and then you come here and you're looking at a map.

Where Mitch McConnell right now, if he hasn't gone to bed, is having one more fine Kentucky bourbon. Why? Because once again, he has looked at a map and said, I have a chance to be the majority leader and he's still possible. But that is not.

But I also know Mitch McConnell is saying Donald Trump pushed nominees in states that we could have won. And those nominees, whether John I mean, Mehmet Oz or others, blew it.

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